Manifold Markets

Manifold Markets is a social prediction market app where you forecast real-world events and see crowd probabilities update in real time. Follow news-driven topics, discuss with a community of forecasters, and track how accurate you are over time. Trade virtual shares to express your beliefs, create custom markets with clear resolution rules, and learn from the wisdom of the crowd. Core features: - Real-time probabilities on news, tech, sports, crypto, and more - Create your own markets with deadlines and resolution criteria - Community discussions, leaderboards, and personalized feeds - Portfolio, alerts, and performance stats to measure your forecasting skill Ideal for anyone who wants a social forecasting tool, a prediction market app for staying ahead of the news, and a smarter way to gauge event odds without complex finance jargon.